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热评:英国“硬脱欧”立场可能要后退(图)

英国大选结果与脱欧前路唇齿相依,而保守党未能在大选保住过半数议席,显示首相文翠珊(中国内地译作特里萨·梅伊)的"硬脱欧"路线不获支持,香港(专题)国际问题研究所欧洲研究主任尹子轩认为,英国虽已表明脱离欧盟的时间表不变,但由于强硬脱欧未获民意授权,势将影响英国的谈判筹码。但面对英国这谈判对手转弱,亦令谈判变得不明朗。 

  不过,评论未能评估英国会放弃那些脱欧坚持,究竟英国会否在限制移民(专题)涌入方面作出退让?例如司法管辖权方面是否要继续受欧洲法院掣肘便是一个难显;另外,跨境贸易控制以至须否按欧盟要求般缴付850亿英镑"脱欧费"?预料各样问题日后都要经过艰苦谈判,并与英国国内的疑欧派斡旋。

  欧盟与英国脱欧谈判原定本月19日展开,但由于筹组联合政府一般要几星期,包括欧盟委员会主管预算事务的德国执委厄廷格(Guenther Oettinger)在内的欧盟领袖都担心,谈判展开日期可能会延迟。但评论员尹子轩指,两年的脱欧日程将难以延期。

  即使展开谈判,英国保守党的强硬脱欧路线不得不变软。除了硬脱欧未8强大民意授权之外,保守党合组联合政府的可选择"盟友"只剩北爱的民主统一党,后者是疑欧派,并要求广泛的自由贸易,文翠珊政府能否坚持离开欧洲单一市场和严谨的边境限制,存在不明朗因素。若相关法案在国内遭遇阻挠,英国在脱欧后如何控制与欧盟接壤的边界及贸易将大成疑问。

  厄廷格亦表示,缺乏强大的谈判伙伴令事情增添不明朗因素,欧盟要的是一个能主事的政府。

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